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Bahamas Weather Centre
Chantal degenerates into a wave
National Hurricane Center / Miami, Florida   
Wednesday, 10 July 2013 16:23
REMNANTS OF CHANTAL ADVISORY NUMBER 12
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL032013
500 PM EDT WED JUL 10 2013

...CHANTAL DEGENERATED INTO A WAVE...
...COULD STILL PRODUCE HEAVY RAINS AND GUSTY WINDS...

SUMMARY OF 500 PM EDT...2100 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...16.5N 73.7W
ABOUT 230 MI...370 KM ESE OF KINGSTON JAMAICA
ABOUT 260 MI...415 KM S OF THE EASTERN TIP OF CUBA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...45 MPH...75 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 270 DEGREES AT 23 MPH...37 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1012 MB...29.88 INCHES

WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...

THE GOVERNMENT OF JAMAICA AND THE GOVERNMENT OF THE BAHAMAS HAVE DISCONTINUED ALL THE REMAINING TROPICAL STORM WATCHES AND WARNINGS.
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Tropical Storm watches and warnings still in effect as Chantal showing signs of weakening
National Hurricane Center / Miami, Florida   
Wednesday, 10 July 2013 06:55

TROPICAL STORM CHANTAL INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER  10A
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL032013
800 AM EDT WED JUL 10 2013

...CHANTAL MOST LIKELY A TROPICAL WAVE...
...RECONNAISSANCE PLANE EN ROUTE TO VERIFY...

SUMMARY OF 800 AM EDT...1200 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...16.5N 70.8W
ABOUT 155 MI...245 KM SSW OF SANTO DOMINGO DOMINICAN REPUBLIC
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...45 MPH...75 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 275 DEGREES AT 29 MPH...46 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1011 MB...29.85 INCHES

WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY... NONE.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* ENTIRE COAST OF THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC
* ENTIRE COAST OF HAITI
* TURKS AND CAICOS
* SOUTHEASTERN BAHAMAS

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR ... * CENTRAL BAHAMAS

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Tropical Storm Watch in effect for Southern Bahamas as Chantal approaches
National Hurricane Center / Miami, Florida   
Tuesday, 09 July 2013 10:11

TROPICAL STORM CHANTAL ADVISORY NUMBER   7
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL032013
1100 AM AST TUE JUL 09 2013

...CHANTAL MOVING BETWEEN MARTINIQUE AND ST. LUCIA...

SUMMARY OF 1100 AM AST...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...14.4N 61.5W
ABOUT 55 MI...85 KM NW OF ST. LUCIA
ABOUT 410 MI...660 KM SE OF SAN JUAN PUERTO RICO
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...60 MPH...95 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 295 DEGREES AT 29 MPH...46 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1006 MB...29.71 INCHES


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Tropical Storm Chantal could have Bahamas impact
National Hurricane Center / Miami, Florida   
Monday, 08 July 2013 10:24
National Hurricane Center / Miami, Florida

TROPICAL STORM CHANTAL DISCUSSION NUMBER   3
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL032013
1100 AM AST MON JUL 08 2013

CONVECTIVE ORGANIZATION OF HAS IMPROVED SLIGHTLY IN SATELLITE
IMAGERY SINCE THE PREVIOUS ADVISORY WITH FRAGMENTED CURVED BANDS
DEVELOPING IN THE NORTHERN SEMICIRCLE...ALTHOUGH THE CORE
CONVECTION HAS WEAKENED SOME. THE INITIAL INTENSITY OF 40 KT IS
BASED ON A BLEND OF TAFB...SAB...ADT...AND AMSU SATELLITE INTENSITY
ESTIMATES. VISIBLE AND WATER VAPOR IMAGERY ALSO INDICATE THAT
CHANTAL HAS DEVELOPED SOME WEAK ANTICYCLONIC OUTFLOW.

THE INITIAL MOTION ESTIMATE REMAINS A RATHER BRISK 280/23 KT. NO
CHANGES WERE MADE TO THE PREVIOUS FORECAST TRACK. CHANTAL IS
FORECAST TO MOVE QUICKLY WEST-NORTHWESTWARD TO THE SOUTH OF A
STRONG DEEP-LAYER SUBTROPICAL RIDGE FOR THE NEXT 48 HOURS. BY DAY 3
AND BEYOND...A VIGOROUS MID-/UPPER-LEVEL LOW CURRENTLY JUST EAST OF
THE BAHAMAS IS EXPECTED TO MOVE WESTWARD AND MERGE WITH A
MID-LATITUDE TROUGH...CREATING A BREAK IN THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE
OVER THE SOUTHEASTERN U.S. AND THE BAHAMAS. CHANTAL IS FORECAST TO
SLOW DOWN AND TURN NORTHWESTWARD BY 72 HOURS AS IT APPROACHES THIS
DEVELOPING WEAKNESS IN THE RIDGE...AND THEN MOVE SLOWLY
NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD THROUGH THE WEAKNESS ON DAYS 4 AND 5. THE
OFFICIAL FORECAST TRACK IS A LITTLE TO THE LEFT OF THE MODEL
CONSENSUS AND LIES ALONG THE SOUTHERN EDGE OF THE GUIDANCE
ENVELOPE...CLOSE TO THE GFS AND FSSE MODELS.
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